As tai laukiu 55, ir galimai zemiau. EW turi specifines guidlines kas buna po to kai wave 5 yra extended.



A 5th‑wave extension in Elliott Wave Theory has a very specific set of “most likely” outcomes. Here’s the concise answer first:

When the 5th wave extends, price usually travels well beyond the typical Fibonacci targets, often reaching 161.8% of waves 1–3, forming a blow‑off top (in uptrends) or capitulation low (in downtrends). After the extension completes, the market almost always retraces sharply back to the wave‑2 or wave‑4 territory of the extension.

Below is the deeper, structured breakdown so you can actually use it in analysis.

📈 What usually happens in a 5th‑wave extension
A 5th‑wave extension means wave 5 is the longest and strongest wave of the impulse. This is the classic “last burst of enthusiasm” before a major reversal.

🔹 1. Price targets tend to overshoot
The most common Fibonacci projections for an extended 5th wave:

161.8% extension of waves 1–3

261.8% extension in very strong markets

1.618 × wave 1 measured from wave 4

Channel breakouts (price pushes outside the parallel channel drawn from waves 2–4)

These are the “where they go” levels traders watch.

🚀 What the extension looks like
Momentum spikes

Volume expands

Indicators diverge (RSI, MACD)

Price accelerates into a blow‑off top (uptrend) or capitulation low (downtrend)

This is the market’s final emotional push.

🔻 What happens after the extension
This is the part most people miss.

A 5th‑wave extension is usually followed by a deep and fast correction:

Retracement back to wave‑2 of the extension (most common)

Retracement back to wave‑4 of the entire impulse

Sometimes a full 61.8% retrace of the entire 1–5 move

This is because the extension is unsustainable.

📉 Typical correction patterns after a 5th‑wave extension
Zigzag (most common)-sitas jau praeitis

Flat-sitas dar imanomas didesniuose intervaluose

Complex correction if the extension was extreme--dabartine situacija

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Gal ir sulauksi, kas ten zino? Tik laiko liko nedaug.

O prie ko cia laikas? Laikas kaip tik yra vienas dalykas kurio marketai turi i valias, priesingai nei kaina.

O stai kaina jei imt visa extended wave5 tai nuo topo turi dropint 62%( iki wave 4) arba labiausiai tiketinas scenarijus-58%(wave 2 of 5). Siuo metu extreme wickas buvo ties 49%, tad liko dar +/- apie 10% registruot zemesni wicka. Budu ji pasiekti yra labai daug, bet is paskutiniu menesiu kainos dinamikos jau aisku kad marketai pasirinko ne kainos korekcija, o laiko.
Kitaip tariant daug judesiu up/down, tempiant laika.

Truputi brainstorminau variacijas kurios imanomos nuo sios vietos ant silver. Visas trejetainis judejimas nuo 120 topo vis dar palieka apie 8 variantus, bet ger zinia ta kad praktiskai ne viena is ju nerodo staigaus crash ir praktiskai yra ant gan nebogo atsokimo zonos.

Isskirciau 5 ir 6 variantus kaip silpniausius short term kurie faktiskai atrodytu kaip crasho pradzia bet netiketai padarytu V shape recovery kai tik pirmas skaicius 5 pasirodytu. Jei kas izuri kitokiu scenariju kas galima pagal EW tai feel free papostint bet as kolkas tiek matau. Aisku bet kuri tribange siuose snenarijuose gali buti bet koks abc ar wxy paternas taip pat, ne tik 535.Jau nekalbant apie tai kad visa korekcija gali buti tik pirma dalis dar didesnio paterno, jei marketas pasirinks toki kelia.

Asmeniskai manau 2 ir 5 kaip labiausiai tiketinas, kurie tiktu ir Gold.

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