Manau neblogam momentas artėja AUD/JPY shortinimui. Tiek iš techninės pusės tiek ir iš fundamentalios (laikas pasikoreguoti JAV akcijų indeksams). Bandau dėti pardavimo pavedimą prie 95,50 kur praeina trumpesnio laikotarpio krentančio trendo linija ir be to yra ilgesnio periodo stogas, suformuotas praeitų metų rudenį. Tikslas galėtų būti ~92.

Jei nesunku, imesk usd/jpy, ir aud/usd grafikus. dekui is anksto.

Sakyčiau net labai neblogas Tik, mano manymu, bus ir 97,50.

Yesterday we looked for a move above 95.56 to complete a corrective rally but instead the move continued above the key 95.97 level. This has proved the short-term bearish view to be wrong and indicates that a move above 96.50 lies directly ahead. The larger count has prices in the last leg of a wave (B) corrective rally from the low a year ago. Wave (c), the last wave of an admittedly-less-than-textbook ending diagonal wave C is taking place. We'll look to count five waves up from last week's low to above 96.50 to identify a top. For now look higher while the 94.75 area holds.

The assumption is that prices are tracing out a long-term bearish triangle pattern. The advance from the 2008 low counts rather well as (A)-triangle wave (B), and wave (C), so the larger Primary wave C (circled) up appears complete. A move to as low as the 70 area over the next year or so is the expectation for Primary wave D (circled).




The much larger count labels a completed (A)-(B)-(C) rally from the 2008 low, forming wave C of a bearish triangle. A five-wave decline from the April 2013 high bottomed at the August low, and is being followed by a wave (B) corrective rally. Wave C within wave (B) would equal wave A at 97.51, and the .618 retracement of wave (A) is 98.16 so we'll look for a top in this range. Once wave (B) ends wave (C) should eventually make it down to the mid-70s

July 25, 2014 07:09 AM
We continue to look for a proposed wave 'iv' correction from 96.18 to end soon, if it has not already done so at 95.69. We will then expect a wave 'v' rally beyond 96.50 before the larger degree impulsive wave '(c)' pattern is completed and a top forms. Again, it would take a deeper than expected pullback under a wave 'i' top at 95.30 to neutralize the impulsive wave '(c)' run from 94.38 and thus cause a review of the wave picture.

The sideways consolidation under 95.90 should end sometime soon. And so another round of impulsive buying in a developing wave 'v' pattern is anticipated, while 95.52 holds, with an initial objective of moving above 96.18.

Turint galvoje pastarųjų kelių dienų neramumus akcijų rinkose ir stipriai pašokusį VIX indeksą, galima bandyt shortint šią porą, kuri kol kas dar neskuba leistis žemyn, bet tradiciškai per didesnes akcijų rinkų korekcijas gana neblogai krenta. Užsidedu pardavimo pavedimą ant 96

Su praeitu call stipriai nepataikiau, AUDJPY nuo mano entry sugebėjo pakilti dar 300p ir aišku pakeliui išmušė SL. Visgi praeitos savaitės judesys žemyn labai impulsyviai atrodo, todėl verta vėl bandyti prekiauti iš short pusės. Užsimetu pardavimo pavedimą 97,80

Pashortinsiu, jena gerai pries baksa laikos o baksas pries australa.

joo, cia tau ne major poros, cia pinigu staigiai pripila

Daba suprantu ko rimtas su australija susidejo...

10 pip, 60 proc navaras

Tik reik stebet audusd ir usdjpy, kada baigsis judesys pas ta ar ana...

Sia savaite bus raliukas, o gal net iki Trumpo isrinkimo