Kai negali kentet, zmones iki tualeto bega, bet ne sidabra perka..

Naftoje short coveris. Iki trendo nulauzimo dar reiktu paluket..

Tai ne short koveris.... short koveris buna einamajame kontrakte. Tai kainu sugludinimas tarp kontraktu. Front yra january. Jis galioja tik kelias dienas. Jame fiziskai dar neimanomas short koveris.
per trumpas kontrakto gyvavimo ciklas.

Tai pagrindinis volumas dabar persoko i sausi, bet kontraktas visviena jau buvo prekiaujamas senai.. Jau yra ten poziciju is seniau..

Kainu skirtumas uzpisa, ant gruodzio nafta lygtais penktadieni buvo nukirtus bottoma, dabar vel voliojas prie botomo..

Tai sitoje temoje as visiems aiskinau maziausiai 3 kartus kodel Ag kaina turi kilti. Niekas nepriestaravo, todel savo argumentus uzskaiciau kaip labai itikinamus ir pagristus.

Infliacija viena is pagrindiniu priezasciu, kodel negali kristi. Gali buti numanipuliuota iki $10 ar gal net $6 (kas ten zino). Bet fizinio uz tokia kaina tikrai negausi, o ypatingai po dar 5 metu infliacijos. Ateis koks nors diedukas vardu Rogers ir nupirks visa laisva sidabra. Sidabro yra labai mazai. Fizinis kiekis 7 kartus didesnis nei aukso, bet kaina minimum 70 kartu mazesne uz aukso. Ka cia bekalbeti apie 3 metus is eiles Ag deficita. Jei kas nupirktu keliolika tonu kaip investicija ar deficitas padidetu ar sumazetu? O kaip super mazos vario kainos paveiks Ag isgavima? Ir dar 100 priezasciu.

C# su nafta yra specifika. Gruodis uzsidare prekyboje 19 lapkricio. Kaina 40 su trupuciu ketvirtadienio uzdarymas. Penktadieni atsidare kaip front kontraktas january. Kaina atidarymo 41.78. Kadangi dalis december eina su fiziniu ispildymu. Gapas tarp penktadienio -ketvirtadienio 41.78-40.13. Pameni. Ketvirtadieni visa mass medija skalambijo nafta 40. O jau penktadieni gavo atidaryma 41.78.

Niekas nelenda naftoje i tolimesni kontrakta nei front kontraktas. Nes tolimesnis eina su kosminiais forwardais. Dabar januaey ir sekancio skirtumas beveik 2 doleriai. Kosmosas. Uz tat sitame dvieju dienu front kontrakte nera ka short koverinti.


http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.html


O kainas dvieju kontraktu sugludina trumpam. Bet ne visada. Buna isimciu. Reikia ziureti cme portu sudeti.

Siandien supirkau :


AG
PAAS
SSRI
SLW

Sidabro mineriai. Galiu pasidalinti tik po to. Kao rinka uzdaryta. Tokios taisykles. Kas nemegstat metalo. Sidabro Mineriu akcijos.

Gold/xau ratio. Akcijos supirktos ilgam.

2x nafta ismesta 4223 (4184), dar 2x 4182 liko.

Tai turim
Fizinis sidabras fizine platina
Sidabras popierius 3x
Kvieciai popierius 2x
Nafta 2x
AG PAAS SSRI SLW 2x arba kiekvieno po 25 proc sask vertes.

Nafta 4240 ismesiu (4182). Ir lieka visos auksciau isvardintos pozicijos be naftos. Pelnas yra pelnas.

As irgi jau negaliu sugaudyt visu politiniu peripetiju naftoje po sios dienos ivykiu.

Sumazinu sverta iki 1:3.5. Perteklines lesos grazinamos izdui ☺

Per anksti dar metalus pirkaliot. Bus atšokimas kažkoks greit, bet vėliau vėl iki new lows. Kol baksas 110 nepasieks, tol metalai neužbottomins. Pusmetis koks liko maždaug grubiai, pasiruoškit pshichologiškai, kai jauti kad tuoj, bet vistiek maudo su putom.

auksa tai stumdo ir isgavineja ir vel stumdo ir nelabai ira perkanciu. dar gali mes iki 980 o tada jau gali buti kad preasides kopimas be sustojimo iki 1600 . isskaiciavo toks vienas bangistas. nu matysim

Nieko rimtai nebus. Pagavau vakar silverio akcijas. Neidomu joms nei Dow Jonsai. Nei rusai. Rauna su daina i virsu.

Dow Jonsai tai eina up. Dauguma akcijų irgi. Silverio akcijos gali eit priešinagi nei silveris dėl jonso kopimo. Na bet va pabandei, pamatysi kiek akcijos procentaliai suvaikšto, kiek metalai, gal žiūrėk pagaliau baigsi kvailiot ir pereisi ant akcijų rinkų. Didesni pinigai, didesni pokyčiai, už ilgą laikyma dar primoka.
Tik nereikia išrasdinėt dviračio ir taikyt visokias coverinimo/hedginimo strategijas. Užtenka basic prekybos-perki žemiau, parduodi auksčiau, doleriai byra. Komisą tik susimoki ir jokio galvos skausmo.

Aciu kad 'paprotinai'. O tai visa gyvenima 'taip suda is vagonu ratu su lazdele ir tekrapstyciau'.


😉

Kai kurie taip tik ir daro, ir nesuvokia kad yra geriau...Anksčiau ar vėliau visi atsisuka į akcijas.

Rimtai. Negi tu taip naiviai manai. Kad as supirkau sidabro tiekeju akcijas. Nes as megstu 'akcijas'.

Jeigu prekiaujamas ne grafikas. Commodai. Sekti reikia : etf , mineriu akcijas , paciu komodu kainas , tam tikrus intermarket rodiklius ir t.t. akcijos supirktos ne del to kad tai akcijos. Tai sidabro strategijos dalis. Kaip cia taip atsitiko. Kad vakar mineriu akcijos sove i virsu. O sidabras stovi vietoje ? A? Na taip. Psihologija. Ir dar vienas mistinis terminas short koveris.

Dar daugiau pasakysiu. Kad siandien jokio judesio sidabre nelaukit. O ryt . Poryt . Jau kita kalba.

Ir burkit kodel...

U.S. Mint set to stop making 2015 American Eagle silver coins
Read more at Reutershttp://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/24/us-silver-coins-us-mint-idUSKBN0TD2K320151124#CJe0QhSx6Xg6u9GG.99

Harry Dent prognozės apie artėjančią krizę ir ką reikėtų daryti:

I'm talking gold hitting $700 an ounce by late 2016 or 2017, and likely $250 - $400 by 2020 - 2022.
Real estate down by another 30% to 40%.
The Dow down to 6,000 by early 2017... and likely 3,300 by 2020 - 2022.
That’s why we also recommend increasing your cash holdings.

Why? Because in deflationary times, cash is king.
Because unlike what happens during inflation, money actually gains value when there’s deflation. It’s simple supply and demand. Money supply shrinks when there’s less lending and as debts are paid down and written off.

As this happens, the demand for dollars will actually go up. That’s why, as strange as it might sound right now, and contrary to everything you might be hearing, the U.S. dollar (and dollar-based assets) will be the very best currency to own in the years ahead.
You see, we actually devalued and debased the dollar during the great boom and credit bubble from 1983 through early 2008. The dollar fell 60%! Reversing this unprecedented credit bubble will destroy many loans and credit… it will destroy dollars, making them more scarce and valuable!

Also, be ready to sell your gold, silver and other precious metal investments in the not too distant future.
Gold and silver perform in inflationary times because they act as a hedge against currency devaluation. But when there’s deflation – and a strengthening currency – gold and silver prices will fall along with most other assets as they did in late 2008 when the crisis fully hit.
If you happen to be holding any foreign currencies, convert them to dollars. Dollars are “cheap” right now compared to many currencies. But that won’t be the case a year or two from now. By converting back to dollars now, it’ll be like buying a sure-fire investment at 10-year lows.

Next thing is something I have already alluded to…
If you have any real estate, if the interest rate on your mortgage is higher than 6% and you have more than 20% equity remaining in your home, refinance now and lock in a low three or five year ARM rate (depending on the time left on your current mortgage). Do this before long-term rates spike. They're moving already, so you don't have much time to act.

I recommend you do this now for two reasons…
Number one, with housing prices destined to fall again, you may not have the equity to qualify in the future. And number two, there’ll be a time where any home loan will be very difficult to get.

Also, take this opportunity to downsize your life. If you’ve accumulated a lot of “stuff” you don’t really need or use – cars, furniture, boats and other toys – sell it now while there’s still something of a market for it.
Not only will it give you more cash, you’ll be amazed at how liberated you’ll feel. (Plus, if you really want it – you’ll be able to buy it back cheaper two or three years from now).
And look at the money you’re paying out every month. See if there’s a way to reduce any of it. Maybe there’s a storage unit holding a lot of furniture you're saving and it’s costing you a few hundred dollars a month. Sell the stuff and cancel the unit. Cut unnecessary expenses. You’ll be surprised how the money adds up. Keep in mind this is all about dollar accumulation and keeping more of the money you make.
What about bigger purchases, like cars? If you have a reliable car, keep it for at least the next two years. If you need one, try to avoid buying this year. Buying now will only result in significant depreciation. Instead, lease it for two years – then buy new in late 2016 or early 2017, when the economy will be at its weakest and you’ll get the best rates and deals.

Now I know I’m covering a lot here. And I realize not all of it applies to everyone.
My advice to you is to do as much as you can to prepare.
Just remember though… This isn’t just about penny-pinching or budgeting or necessarily preparing for some sort of global Armageddon. It’s about being more self-sufficient and financially secure. So shed inflated assets and high-cost debt… move stealthily into safer and more strategic investments and cash – cash you’ll later be able to parlay into outstanding profits after the next great crash. But how can you take advantage of the myriad of opportunities that will arise from the next crash? Here at my organization, Dent Research, we have a team of economists, demographers, researchers and investment analysts working diligently to prepare our members for what lies ahead.

Kas per kopustagalvis sitas nesamones raso?

gal kokiam dazu ceche pas FED dirba naktineje pamainoje,dazai baigesi,niekas neatveze,i galva trenke...ir mintys pradejo eiti.

Tas Dent uzgiedojo, kad bus defliacja is kur? 5 metam I prieki? Is kur jis tai zino? Ir pasipyle nesamones kaip Ag bus 12 USD. Padare is pirsto lauztas prielaidas IR pasipyle nesamones parentos debiliska prielaida...